Why Adelaide Still Looks Like Australia’s Quiet Achiever
Adelaide Auction Clearance Rates Signal Resilient Confidence
1. Why we watch auction clearance rates
Clearance rates are the property market’s “pulse” – a quick read on buyer demand, seller expectations, and access to finance. When rates sit above ~60 per cent, the market is usually considered balanced-to-seller-friendly; slip under 50 per cent for long and prices can soften.
2. The national pulse
Across the combined capitals, last week’s preliminary clearance rate came in at 68.8 % from 1,835 auctions – easing from +70 % highs earlier in May but still above the 2025 year-to-date average of 68 % CoreLogic Australia.
Why the slight dip? A jump in listings (particularly in Melbourne) and buyers taking a breather while they digest the RBA’s second 0.25 % rate cut to a 3.85 % cash rate on 20 May The Guardian.
3. Adelaide under the hammer
- 132 homes went to auction across Greater Adelaide last week – the busiest week since Easter.
- The preliminary clearance rate was 64.1 %, down from 66.7 % the week prior, but only a touch below the year-to-date average of 67.4 % CoreLogic Australia.
- Realestate.com.au’s final numbers for the week ending 25 May showed a similar 65 % clearance from 98 reported results Realestate.
Those mid-60 % readings tell us the South Australian market remains healthy but disciplined; buyers still show up, yet they’re negotiating harder on price.
4. What’s driving Adelaide’s results?
Tailwinds
- Affordability edge – Adelaide’s median price is still ~$300k below Sydney, luring interstate investors and first-home buyers.
- Population growth – SA is tipped to welcome ~22,000 extra residents in 2025, tightening rental markets and underpinning demand
- Interest-rate relief – The May cut lifts borrowing capacity by roughly 3-5 %.
Headwinds
- More stock hitting the market as would-be sellers seize the post-rate-cut momentum
- Slightly higher vendor discounting and days-on-market as buyers shop around (40 days vs 30 a year ago)
- Global uncertainty (think Trump-era tariffs) still rattles consumer confidence.
5. The outlook: more grind than boom – but still bright
- Baseline scenario (no further rate cuts): SQM Research expects Adelaide dwelling values to rise 4–8 % over 2025 – outperforming most capitals adelaidenow.
- Rate-cut-plus scenario: Two extra RBA cuts could push Adelaide’s gains into double-digit territory (up to 14 %) on tighter rental markets and renewed investor activity adelaidenow.
- Current trajectory: PropTrack’s April index already has Adelaide up 10.8 % year-on-year, reclaiming the crown for strongest capital-city growth PropTrack.
- Long-run context: Over the past 20 years Adelaide’s house prices have surged 175 % – the largest increase of any Australian city adelaidenow.
In short, expect steady (not runaway) capital growth, fuelled by tight supply, population inflows and a relative affordability sweet spot.
6. Practical take-aways for investors & upgraders
- Run the numbers again: Even a 0.25 % rate cut can add ~$25–30k to average borrowing capacity. Use a loan calculator and refresh your pre-approval before competition heats up.
- Focus on scarcity: Character homes near the CBD and high-amenity middle-ring suburbs (think Prospect, Unley, West Croydon) keep outperforming in softer patches.
- Add value, don’t chase headlines: Clearance rates in the mid-60s reward buyers with vision – cosmetic renos and small-lot subdivisions still stack up when purchased below replacement cost.
- Be auction-ready: With two-thirds of homes still selling under the hammer, sharpen your bidding strategy, line up building-and-pest inspections early, and set a walk-away price.
- Plan for multiple outcomes: Build a 1 % buffer into serviceability for any curve-balls, and stress-test cash flow assuming no further rate cuts.
7. Ready to turn improved serviceability into serious assets?
Let’s map your next move – from finance prep to suburb selection and deal analysis.
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Knowledge is power, but action builds portfolios. See you at auction – I’ll bring the coffee.